We are going to try something a little different this week. Instead of an email sent to Kenny for him to post, I am going to write the post myself. So if this changes the success rate I have enjoyed so far, then I will revert back to the old fashion way of making my locks of the week. So here goes;
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
Locks of the week
1. Ga. Tech by 7 1/2 over MARYLAND.
Let's face it, when you have to start a fifth string true freshman QB for his first game, that usually spells disaster. When that 5th string QB is really a middle linebacker, now that is really really bad. Maryland has this problem and then you compound that problem with a very weak run game, I don't see many points coming their way.
2. UTAH ST. by 26 1/2 over Texas St.
I don't know if an explanation is truly needed here but I will provide one. Texas St has recently moved up to FBS and is working to establish themselves. Utah St is scoring points at will and they are a blistering 7 - 0 ATS.
3. Penn St. by 3 1/2 over PURDUE
Coach O'Brien is the difference here and I believe that it is worth 3 1/2 points. Penn St is a more disciplined and consistent team than Purdue. Don't let last week Ohio State loss fool you, Braxton Miller is really good. Purdue does not have a Miller on their team.
4. NO. ILLINOIS by 35 1/2 over Massachusetts
Man that is a lot of points to give a team but U Mass just gave up 49 to Vandy while playing on the road. No. Ill is better than Vandy so look for this one to a solid blow out.
5. N.C. ST. by 11 1/2 over Virginia
Mike Glennon rank the bell for 42 against UNC last week. Virginia's defense is not a tar heel equivalent and the offense does not score much at all. The wolfpack are fighting for a bowl bid and the Cavs are 0 - 7 ATS this season.
6. Arkansas St by 4 1/2 over NO. TEXAS ST.
Ark St is leading the Sun Belt and Gus Malzahn has the offense rolling. No Texas is no match for fine tuned spread passing attack.
7. FLORIDA by 16 1/2 over Missouri
This point spread kind of scares me but I look for Muschamp to get the gators back on track and take care of the ball this week. Mizzou does not stop the run nor do they protect the QB very well. This plays right into Florida wheel house.
8. Ole Miss getting 13 1/2 from GEORGIA
Can you say trap game? Ole Miss is playing like they are relevant and I think they will be over looked by the bulldogs. Don't look for the Rebels to win but they will cover.
9. MIAMI getting 2 1/2 from Virginia Tech
VT is 0 - 4 on the road, Coach Golden has the swagger coming back at the U. This one looks like a winner and getting points.
10. FRESNO ST. by 33 1/2 over Hawaii
This is the first time I remember Hawaii traveling anywhere. They appear to be a bad road team they leave their defense at home when they travel. Look for a scoring fest early and often from Fresno St.
Other to be considered for almost locks
Troy getting 18 1/2 from TENNESSEE
MINNESOTA getting 9 1/2 from Michigan
Vandy by 7 1/2 over KENTUCKY
TEXAS TECH by 7 1/2 Texas
KANSAS ST by 8 1/2 over Oklahoma St
KENT ST by 21 1/2 over Akron
Florida International by 4 1/2 over SOUTH ALABAMA
MISSISSIPPI ST. getting 6 1/2 from Texas A & M
EAST CAROLINA getting 3 1/2 from Houston
Pittsburgh getting 16 1/2 from NOTRE DAME
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